Sunday 19 June 2016

Third-place qualifiers at Euro 2016 explained


Northern Ireland are currently third - but will most likely need to improve their points total to make it to the knockout stageHow many third-placed teams go through to the knockouts? How are they ranked? And who could England or Wales face if they win Group B? We explain the 'best third-place teams' system...
As well as the top two in each group, four third-place teams will also qualify for the knockout stage at Euro 2016.
The system, which feeds the 24 teams at the tournament into a last-16 round, is far from straightforward.
At the end of the group phase, all third-placed teams will be ranked on the number of points they've won in their respective group.
Teams with the same number of points will then be separated on goal difference, goals scored, their fair play record at the competition and, finally, if none of those factors sets them apart, their UEFA national team coefficient ranking.
The top four of the six would then be rewarded with a place in the last-16.  
Here's how the teams currently in third rank:

Current third-placed sides

TeamGroupGoals scoredGoal differencePoints
Northern IrelandC2+13
SlovakiaB303
PortugalF102
Czech RepublicD2-11
RomaniaA2-11
SwedenE1-11
What does this mean for Northern Ireland?
Northern Ireland are third, can't be overtaken by Ukraine, currently have three points and a positive goal difference. The bad news is they play world champions Germany next. With two of the other five third-place teams playing the fourth-place team in their group, Northern Ireland's points total - and place in the knockout round - is under threat if they don't get a result in their final fixture.
What does this mean for Republic of Ireland?  

Ireland must beat Italy to qualify for the last-16 after losing to Belgium
Ireland must beat Italy to qualify for the last-16 after losing to Belgium
The Republic of Ireland's mission is clear: beat Italy. With just one point from their first two games, a draw with the Azzurri would not be enough. That's because in Group A and D the bottom two teams play each other, with one of those sides in each fixture inevitably ending up with a better record than Ireland, should they draw with Italy.
What does this mean for England and Wales?

England or Wales would face a wait to find out who their last-16 opponent is if they win Group B
England or Wales would face a wait to find out who their last-16 opponent is if they win Group B
England, currently on four points, can still finish third but would have to sustain a heavy defeat to Slovakia to miss out on a best third-place spot. Wales, though, like Northern Ireland, will be eager to strengthen their position of three points with a neutral goal difference.
However, both England and Wales can also finish top of Group B - and the winner of that pool plays the best third-place team from Group A, C or D.
The opponent will be determined on the final third-place rankings - so, should England or Wales win Group B, they won't know who they'll face in their last-16 tie (which takes place on Saturday in Paris) until the final group games have been played on Wednesday night.
Below is a rather complicated-looking table which shows the different permutations. It's worth noting that should Northern Ireland beat Germany and Poland get a result against Ukraine, England or Wales could play the world champions in the first knockout round…

Last-16 permutations for third-placed teams

Best ranked third places (groups)Winner Group A vWinner Group B vWinner Group C vWinner Group D v
ABCD3C3D3A3B
ABCE3C3A3B3E
ABCF3C3A3B3F
ABDE3D3A3B3E
ABDF3D3A3B3F
ABEF3E3A3B3F
ACDE3C3D3A3E
ACDF3C3D3A3F
ACEF3C3A3F3E
ADEF3D3A3F3E
BCDE3C3D3B3E
BCDF3C3D3B3F
BCEF3E3C3B3F
BDEF3E3D3B3F
CDEF3C3D3F3E

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